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The Fractured Web

6 November 2008, 11:47 pm

Last week, while at GTEC - the Government + Technology conference - in Ottawa, I was asked by a participant what percentage of people she could expect would contribute to her department’s wiki.

I quickly cited the 1% Rule, as outline in Citizen Marketers, the must-read book by Jackie Huba and Ben McConnell. In a post about the rule (May 2006), they wrote:

“For instance, in June 2005 Wikipedia had a total of 68,682 total contributors. Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales is reported to have told a library group that month:

    * 50% of all Wikipedia edits are done by 0.7% of users
    * 1.8% of users have written more than 72% of all articles

If we also add evidence from Bradley Horowitz that roughly 1% of Yahoo’s user population starts a Yahoo Group, we seem to have The 1% Rule: Roughly 1% of your site visitors will create content within a democratized community. (Horowitz also says that some 10% of the total audience “synthesizes” the content, or interacts with it.)”

Now, almost 2.5 years later, it seems that these statistics are still holding true. Today, an email titled, “The Fractured Web Community Impacts Marketing Focus” landed in my inbox (link to post). Sent by the Centre for New Media Research, it concluded that:

“The vast majority of online conversation is driven by a small group of web users ” less than ten percent of them. The rest of the web community sits back and watches the interactions as a mostly-passive audience that only occasionally injects a few comments. Community experts have been aware of this phenomenon for years, calling it “participation inequality.’”

But here’s the key:

” 90% of users are lurkers (i.e., read or observe, but don’t contribute).
” 9% of users contribute from time to time, but other priorities dominate their time.
” 1% of users participate a lot and account for most contributions: it can seem as if they don’t have lives because they often post just minutes after whatever event they’re commenting on occurs.

The 90-9-1, as it’s called, confirms the 1% Rule. Even over two years later, the same stats are holding true.

And that shouldn’t be a surprise. People have been talking about this in one form or another for quite some time.

In fact, if you’re looking for historical examples, check out the case of the 1 Percenters, as reported by Huba and McConnell. Or read about Participation Inequality here.

What’s the point? It’s two-fold.

1.    If you’re entering the social media waters, don’t expect to break this rule. It’s long established and it holds true in different contexts. Instead, go into your initiative thinking about what you can do to engage these key contributors and create tighter bonds to your brand. Make it easy to contribute. Reward participants. Promote your best contributors. Think of ways that validate these key brand supporters and keep them happy.

2.    Don’t discount the value of your 1%, and of the next 9%. These people care an awful lot about what they’re doing. They care a great deal about your brand. And wait, this is the key - the 90% crowd cares quite a bit about what their saying too. So communicate with your 1s + 9s. Feed them. Make them better at what they do. Think of them as the bridge from your brand to other consumers. If others trust “people like me” the most, then these are your most powerful ambassadors. So treat them as such.

So what is your experience with this rule? Do you consider yourself a lurker, a participant or a frequent contributor?

Discuss!

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3 Responses
  • Peter Korchnak

    I’ve gone from lurker to participant, and am aiming to become a frequent contributor, at least in my field (sustainable marketing). The journey’s been quite exhilarating. The main lesson I’ve learned: the more you give (the more you participate), the more you get (the greater the payoff). It takes a lot of time and effort for the causation to kick in, which I suspect is the reason why lurkers remain lurkers, but if you’re in it for the long haul and have a plan, you’ll get there.

    I absolutely agree that marketers must pay extra attention to the influencers in their brand community. Evangelist marketing works only if we cultivate our evangelists.

  • Gregory Kohs

    I think Jimbo was including the editing activity of “bots” in that statistic. These are programs that appear to be an “account” on Wikipedia, but simply run 24/7 on auto-pilot, doing things like signing edits on talk pages that were left unsigned by their authors, correcting commonly misspelled words, etc. These are not really substantial edits, if you think about the broader purpose of Wikipedia.

    Per usual, Jimbo didn’t really come forward with meaningful insight; rather, he clouded the discussion.

  • Mark Goren | Transmission Content + Creative

    Peter: The more you give, the more you get. That’s the concept of Give + Take Marketing that I absolutely agree with, and have been writing about for a while on my orignal Transmission blog. Check out the category.

    http://transmissionmarketing.ca/?cat=4

    Gregory: Not sure I agree. While I can’t really vouch for the statistic that you’re questioning, there’s been a whole lot of evidence to support his claim. So whether or not what he says is true, history would suggest that it is. Have you any specific stats that would support your claim?

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